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	<title>Comments for Real Data SF</title>
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	<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog</link>
	<description>The Dirt on San Francisco Real Estate -  (Broker, Cal. Dept. Real Estate License No. 773349)</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 21:15:27 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Comment on Looking Back at 2009:  Half-Empty or Half-Full? by Noe Valley Still Goin&#8217; Down?</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/02/05/looking-back-at-2009-half-empty-or-half-full/comment-page-1/#comment-659</link>
		<dc:creator>Noe Valley Still Goin&#8217; Down?</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 21:15:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=662#comment-659</guid>
		<description>[...] from 30% down to around 18% down for single family homes at  year&#8217;s end (see more detail here) , Noe Valley home prices continued to retreat.  In October and November 2009, prices were down [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] from 30% down to around 18% down for single family homes at  year&#8217;s end (see more detail here) , Noe Valley home prices continued to retreat.  In October and November 2009, prices were down [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on Noe Valley Goes Down by Noe Valley Still Goin&#8217; Down?</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2009/05/05/noe-valley-goes-down/comment-page-1/#comment-658</link>
		<dc:creator>Noe Valley Still Goin&#8217; Down?</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 11 Mar 2010 07:02:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=322#comment-658</guid>
		<description>[...] in May 2009, I showed that Noe Valley was not immune from the slump in prices affecting the rest of the city, [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] in May 2009, I showed that Noe Valley was not immune from the slump in prices affecting the rest of the city, [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on Looking Back at 2009:  Half-Empty or Half-Full? by Looking Back at 2009: Condos/TICs</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/02/05/looking-back-at-2009-half-empty-or-half-full/comment-page-1/#comment-653</link>
		<dc:creator>Looking Back at 2009: Condos/TICs</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 18:04:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=662#comment-653</guid>
		<description>[...] WordPress.org       &#8592; Looking Back at 2009: Half-Empty or Half-Full? [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] WordPress.org       &larr; Looking Back at 2009: Half-Empty or Half-Full? [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on Forget Statistics:   714 Duncan Loses 23% in 18 months by Xman</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/01/19/forget-statistics-714-duncan-loses-23-in-18-months/comment-page-1/#comment-644</link>
		<dc:creator>Xman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2010 18:58:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=656#comment-644</guid>
		<description>We are going to put our appt. on sale to see if these statistics hold true... :)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>We are going to put our appt. on sale to see if these statistics hold true&#8230; <img src='http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>Comment on Forget Statistics:   714 Duncan Loses 23% in 18 months by insidesfre</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/01/19/forget-statistics-714-duncan-loses-23-in-18-months/comment-page-1/#comment-643</link>
		<dc:creator>insidesfre</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 19:51:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=656#comment-643</guid>
		<description>I think the value loss at 714 Duncan is less of a statement about prices declining in Noe Valley and more of a statement on prices on awkward homes declining.

My partner &amp; I considered buying this house. But the kitchen needed updating, the room/bath on the garage level were odd, and there was essentially no yard. 

The house is also a bit out of the fray in Noe, closer to Diamond Heights.

These types of properties tend to have a problem holding up well in the new economy.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think the value loss at 714 Duncan is less of a statement about prices declining in Noe Valley and more of a statement on prices on awkward homes declining.</p>
<p>My partner &amp; I considered buying this house. But the kitchen needed updating, the room/bath on the garage level were odd, and there was essentially no yard. </p>
<p>The house is also a bit out of the fray in Noe, closer to Diamond Heights.</p>
<p>These types of properties tend to have a problem holding up well in the new economy.</p>
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		<title>Comment on Focus on Noe Valley by Forget Statistics: 714 Duncan Loses 23% in 18 months</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2009/09/16/focus-on-noe-valley/comment-page-1/#comment-641</link>
		<dc:creator>Forget Statistics: 714 Duncan Loses 23% in 18 months</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 06:54:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=490#comment-641</guid>
		<description>[...] So now comes 714 Duncan Street, a beautiful 2,000 sf view home on a steep hill with fantastic city views.  Listed at a disarming $1,195,000, it sold for $1,415,000 in January 2008.  That was pretty much the top of the market for Noe Valley.  (You can see the chart here.) [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] So now comes 714 Duncan Street, a beautiful 2,000 sf view home on a steep hill with fantastic city views.  Listed at a disarming $1,195,000, it sold for $1,415,000 in January 2008.  That was pretty much the top of the market for Noe Valley.  (You can see the chart here.) [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on The View From Space: 2010 by Xman 7</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/01/11/the-view-from-space-2010/comment-page-1/#comment-633</link>
		<dc:creator>Xman 7</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 14 Jan 2010 05:32:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=646#comment-633</guid>
		<description>I trust people I eat with more - I agree with your lunch partner and the ball. Unemployment at 8% for a few years - Europe style. Markets are the only place to put money in given how low rates are - but that&#039;s going to stop. Un devoue et fidele lecteur.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I trust people I eat with more &#8211; I agree with your lunch partner and the ball. Unemployment at 8% for a few years &#8211; Europe style. Markets are the only place to put money in given how low rates are &#8211; but that&#8217;s going to stop. Un devoue et fidele lecteur.</p>
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		<title>Comment on The view from space &#8212; Part 1 by The View From Space: 2010 &#124; Real Data SF</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2008/11/25/the-view-from-space-part-1/comment-page-1/#comment-631</link>
		<dc:creator>The View From Space: 2010 &#124; Real Data SF</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 18:36:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=49#comment-631</guid>
		<description>[...] reported on Ken’s predictions from November of 2008 here. (Remember, we were already in deep doo-doo, though things got worse through the first quarter of [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] reported on Ken’s predictions from November of 2008 here. (Remember, we were already in deep doo-doo, though things got worse through the first quarter of [...]</p>
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		<title>Comment on TICs, San Francisco&#8217;s Involuntary Reflex &#8212; Part 3:  The Condo Premium Per Square Foot?  Or not&#8230; by hangemhi</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2009/11/06/tics-san-franciscos-involuntary-reflex-part-3-the-condo-premium-per-square-foot-or-not/comment-page-1/#comment-630</link>
		<dc:creator>hangemhi</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 07:30:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=611#comment-630</guid>
		<description>well there&#039;s a lot in the 3 part report i can&#039;t agree with, although i do appreciate the effort that went into the analysis.

firstly - saying that TIC&#039;s are riskier than Condos seems like a knee jerk reaction among Realtors.  What about the NUMEROUS exceptions to that supposed rule.  take for example all new condo buildings that sold between 2004 and 2008... ie, the Palms at 555 4th, 140 S. Van Ness, the Beacon, etc.  Many bought with 0% to 10% down.  Now they are getting hit with massive amounts of Short Sales and REO&#039;s.... AND unpaid HOA dues.   

Meanwhile with TIC&#039;s 20% to 25% down has always been pretty standard.   I don&#039;t know where to find stats, but I&#039;d guess defaults on TIC units are well below defaults on Condos.  So which is riskier?????  Could SOMA turn into Miami with empty buildings and no one paying HOA dues?  I hear even the Brannan has a lot of late HOA payers and they were built in 2000.  Fat chance of something like that happening in a TIC building with much more equity.

TIC&#039;s with shared group loans tend to have even higher equity.  So if an owner can&#039;t pay the bills, chances are the other owners would be happy to take over the defaulter&#039;s unit just to get at the equity.  But of course the defaulter will have a far easier time selling since they have equity to play with to get it done.

i&#039;m also seeing a growing theme where agents i read on places like Trulia that TIC lenders could go away.  Give me a break.  When they can charge 1 to 2 points more in interest, with 20% to 25% down as standard on a unit that is priced 20% below a comparable condo, where defaults are almost certainly far less than condos - which would you rather loan on????  When there&#039;s money to be made, there will be capital available.

lastly, I&#039;m a condo owner.  I&#039;m involved in my HOA board and find shared ownership to be  a hassle.  Why do people think only TIC&#039;s have &quot;shared ownership&quot; problems????  Also,  banks are now refusing to let owners in my building re-finance unless or until we meet newly created criteria.  So much for owning our own units - it&#039;s obvious the bank owns them.  Overall the other idea that many agents spout about TIC&#039;s being &quot;shared ownership&quot; in a way that Condos are not is also largely bunk IMHO.

Yes, there are advantages to owning a Condo.  Unfortunately it seems to biggest one is that you don&#039;t have to deal with the bad rap and mis-information that TIC&#039;s have -  deserved or not - so Condos are and will be easier to sell unless or until Agents and the public become better educated.

Given my long comment I&#039;ll just briefly touch on your stats - which I again thank you for.  The more recent data chart is extra flawed because there are even fewer TIC sales happening now.... and there seems to me to be an obvious trend towards super-remodeled TIC units.  So the few that are selling are luxury which has caused the premium to contract in your chart - but not in reality.  In my opinion TIC&#039;s are much cheaper today than 2 years ago vs. condos - again, many are not selling at all - if they did it would be at extremely low prices. And those that are selling are pimped out and therefore &quot;premium&quot; priced.

Thanks again for all of the charts and stats.  I did find them very useful.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>well there&#8217;s a lot in the 3 part report i can&#8217;t agree with, although i do appreciate the effort that went into the analysis.</p>
<p>firstly &#8211; saying that TIC&#8217;s are riskier than Condos seems like a knee jerk reaction among Realtors.  What about the NUMEROUS exceptions to that supposed rule.  take for example all new condo buildings that sold between 2004 and 2008&#8230; ie, the Palms at 555 4th, 140 S. Van Ness, the Beacon, etc.  Many bought with 0% to 10% down.  Now they are getting hit with massive amounts of Short Sales and REO&#8217;s&#8230;. AND unpaid HOA dues.   </p>
<p>Meanwhile with TIC&#8217;s 20% to 25% down has always been pretty standard.   I don&#8217;t know where to find stats, but I&#8217;d guess defaults on TIC units are well below defaults on Condos.  So which is riskier?????  Could SOMA turn into Miami with empty buildings and no one paying HOA dues?  I hear even the Brannan has a lot of late HOA payers and they were built in 2000.  Fat chance of something like that happening in a TIC building with much more equity.</p>
<p>TIC&#8217;s with shared group loans tend to have even higher equity.  So if an owner can&#8217;t pay the bills, chances are the other owners would be happy to take over the defaulter&#8217;s unit just to get at the equity.  But of course the defaulter will have a far easier time selling since they have equity to play with to get it done.</p>
<p>i&#8217;m also seeing a growing theme where agents i read on places like Trulia that TIC lenders could go away.  Give me a break.  When they can charge 1 to 2 points more in interest, with 20% to 25% down as standard on a unit that is priced 20% below a comparable condo, where defaults are almost certainly far less than condos &#8211; which would you rather loan on????  When there&#8217;s money to be made, there will be capital available.</p>
<p>lastly, I&#8217;m a condo owner.  I&#8217;m involved in my HOA board and find shared ownership to be  a hassle.  Why do people think only TIC&#8217;s have &#8220;shared ownership&#8221; problems????  Also,  banks are now refusing to let owners in my building re-finance unless or until we meet newly created criteria.  So much for owning our own units &#8211; it&#8217;s obvious the bank owns them.  Overall the other idea that many agents spout about TIC&#8217;s being &#8220;shared ownership&#8221; in a way that Condos are not is also largely bunk IMHO.</p>
<p>Yes, there are advantages to owning a Condo.  Unfortunately it seems to biggest one is that you don&#8217;t have to deal with the bad rap and mis-information that TIC&#8217;s have &#8211;  deserved or not &#8211; so Condos are and will be easier to sell unless or until Agents and the public become better educated.</p>
<p>Given my long comment I&#8217;ll just briefly touch on your stats &#8211; which I again thank you for.  The more recent data chart is extra flawed because there are even fewer TIC sales happening now&#8230;. and there seems to me to be an obvious trend towards super-remodeled TIC units.  So the few that are selling are luxury which has caused the premium to contract in your chart &#8211; but not in reality.  In my opinion TIC&#8217;s are much cheaper today than 2 years ago vs. condos &#8211; again, many are not selling at all &#8211; if they did it would be at extremely low prices. And those that are selling are pimped out and therefore &#8220;premium&#8221; priced.</p>
<p>Thanks again for all of the charts and stats.  I did find them very useful.</p>
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		<title>Comment on New Year&#8217;s Greetings by xman</title>
		<link>http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/2010/01/04/new-years-greetings/comment-page-1/#comment-629</link>
		<dc:creator>xman</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 06 Jan 2010 05:56:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.pegasusventures.net/wordpressblog/?p=635#comment-629</guid>
		<description>Well happy New Year agaaain. I read it. And it&#039;s more readers I&#039;ve ever had!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Well happy New Year agaaain. I read it. And it&#8217;s more readers I&#8217;ve ever had!</p>
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